We started the Thames Path this weekend, right up at the source near Cirencester, and the weather reports warned us that temperatures would be freezing. So I wore long underwear. We were pretty comfortable, though, not too cold. I forgot I was wearing it.
So you naturally start thinking to yourself, maybe the long underwear was unnecessary?
Well, there’s an obvious fallacy here. Very likely I was comfortable precisely because I had put on extra clothes; and this suggests a general principle. When something is quietly going well in your life, some of the credit may be due to you. Not putting on too much weight? Congratulations — you may have pretty good eating habits! Getting along ok with friends and family? Bravo — you may be a rather agreeable person!
[4 February 2015]